By: Craig
Zogby was once (late 1990s/early 2000s) an excellent pollster. But his 2006/2008 Zogby Interactive work was, without a doubt the worst two cycles I have ever seen a major pollster experience. They were...
View ArticleBy: JamesInCA
As to the first question, I think those two criticisms are really the same thing. The underlying assumption is that pollsters are somehow putting too many Democrats into the sample, be that by...
View ArticleBy: JamesInCA
If, in fact, the election result is different from their model’s prediction, it is really they who will have to explain the difference. They are positing an underlying mechanism by which voters choose...
View ArticleBy: Shawn Huckaby
It’s in Joel’s previous comment here: http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/03/were-back-2/comment-page-2/#comment-22125
View ArticleBy: Reason
@Shawn. Thanks. Has anyone seen this though? http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/democrats-leaving-mail-ba_b_2069037.html
View ArticleBy: Matt McIrvin
Colorado looks like a case where the polling is coming out strangely bimodal, but the +O and +R polls are approximately equal in number. So median-based averaging might give a misleading picture there,...
View ArticleBy: Craig
1996 and 1992 were actually worse than 2000. 2004 and 2008 have been absolute banner years for pollsters compared to the 90s.
View ArticleBy: Trim
Are the same thing? I thought the criticism was of the likely voter models for those polls showing Obama with a consistent lead. Such that, those polls that showed Obama’s best numbers were the ones...
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